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AUD/USD drops below 0.72 on dismal Aussie retail sales and international trade data

  • Aussie is on the defensive, having hit session lows below 0.72 soon before press time, courtesy of a below-forecast Aussie data.  
  • Retail sales dropped in December, signaling anemic domestic demand. Meanwhile, imports fell more than exports, driving the trade surplus higher.  

The AUD/USD pair is feeling the pull of gravity, courtesy of the dismal Aussie data.

The seasonally adjusted retail sales fell 0.4 percent in December, missing the estimated 0.1 percent drop following a 0.4 percent rise in November.  

Meanwhile, trade surplus widened to AUD 3,681 million, beating the forecasted rise to AUD 2,300 million from the November figure of AUD 1,925 million. The uptick in surplus, however, is largely driven by a 6 percent drop in imports.

A contraction in both the retail sales and imports indicates anemic domestic demand. Put simply, the Australian economy could see a deeper slowdown in the near future as consumption is unlikely to compensate for the weakness in the international trade. Note that exports also dropped 2 percent.

As a result, the AUD is likely to remain offered ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate decision, scheduled for 03:30 GMT. The central bank is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at the record low of 1.5 percent.

As of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading at the session low of 0.7195 – down more than 15 pips post-Aussie data release.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  0.7213
       Today Daily change:  -0.0012  pips
       Today Daily change %:  -0.17%
       Today Daily Open:  0.7225
Trends:
       Daily SMA20:  0.7183
       Daily SMA50:  0.7169
       Daily SMA100:  0.7174
       Daily SMA200:  0.729
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  0.7255
       Previous Daily Low:  0.721
       Previous Weekly High:  0.7296
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.7138
       Previous Monthly High:  0.7296
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.6684
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.7227
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.7238
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.7205
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.7185
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.716
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.725
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.7275
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.7295

 

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