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NZ: Payback in unemployment rate – ANZ

Liz Kendall, senior economist at ANZ, points out that the New Zealand’s unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, in large part reflecting payback from last quarter’s surprise drop.

Key Quotes

“Noise aside, the labour market has stabilised and the best may be behind us.”

“The underutilisation rate ticked up from 11.4% to 12.1%.”

“Wage inflation was stable at 0.5% q/q, nudging up from 1.9% to 2.0% y/y. Looking through temporary factors, underlying wage inflation is edging up only slowly, reflecting previous labour market tightening.”

“Today’s data could add to a more cautious tone from the RBNZ next week, even if their central forecasts do not change significantly. Our MPS preview will be released later today.”

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