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GBP/USD rallies seen struggling near the 1.3160 region – Commerzbank

Occasional bullish attempts in Cable are expected to struggle in the 1.3160 region (20-day SMA), noted Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank.

Key Quotes

GBP/USD has bounced aggressively off the 200 day ma at 1.2976 – this has neutralised our immediate outlook. While we would allow for a rebound from the 200 day ma, it should be noted that downside risks are growing and intraday rallies are likely to struggle on rallies to the 1.3161 20 day ma”.

“Below the 200 day ma lies the 1.2929 55 week ma and the double Fibo retracement at 1.2900/1.2895, this is pretty solid support that is expected to hold the downside. This guards the recent low at 1.2772″.

“The market recently reached 1.3382 before failing. Should the 55 week ma hold, our overall target remains the 1.3552 200 week ma”.

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