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EUR/USD not sustaining recent breaks to new lows – Commerzbank

Karen Jones, analyst at Commerzbank, suggests that the EUR/USD pair is attempting to bounce from the 1.1176 recent low as the market has recently not sustained breaks to new lows, but there remains a risk of a slide to the 1.1110 end of May 2017 low (not our favoured scenario).

Key Quotes

“The daily RSI has diverged and this reflects a loss of downside momentum. We suspect that it is trying to base but needs to do more work (we note the 13 count on the weekly chart).”

“Once above the 200 day ma at 1.1463, the cross should target the 1.1570 January high, together with the 55 week ma at 1.1589.”

“Below 1.1185/75 (61.8% retracement) lies the 1.1110, the May 2017 low and the 1.0814/78.6% retracement.”

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