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UK: Lack of progress on Brexit – Rabobank

According to analysts at Rabobank, the recently held local elections in England and Northern Ireland had an expected results and lead to a breakthrough in Tory-Labour talks on a desired Brexit outcome.

Key Quotes

“There has however been a lack of progress, and talks could even collapse.”

“The UK has confirmed it will hold European Parliament (EP) elections on 23 May.”

“The government’s new aim is to get the Withdrawal Agreement ratified before the instalment of the new EP on 2 July.”

“The pressure on Prime Minister May to resign mounts, but attempts to remove her from her function have failed so far.”

“However, the risk of a forced leadership change or a cabinet fall persists and is likely to rise following the EP elections on 23 May, an important milestone in that sense.”

“Meanwhile, we still see an orderly Brexit as the most likely outcome, but the slow progress in Tory-Labour talks is concerning.”

“A series of parliamentary votes on various Brexit outcomes can be an alternative way forward.”

“Given the gridlock on Brexit in British politics the odds of a Hard Brexit remain high.”

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