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NZ: Modest lift in business confidence in May – Westpac

Michael Gordon, analyst at Westpac, notes that New Zealand’s business confidence improved in May, but remained at relatively low levels.

Key Quotes

“A net 32% of firms were downbeat about the general economy, compared to 38% in April. Own-activity confidence improved slightly to +8%, but remains well below its long-run average.”

“The major development since the last survey was the Government’s surprising announcement that it would not pursue a capital gains tax. We expected that this decision would help to boost business confidence, though it was by no means the only issue that businesses have had to grumble about.”

“The other recent development of note was the 25 basis point cut to the OCR in early May. This may have had a lesser impact on confidence, as respondents in the April survey were already expecting a fall in interest rates (albeit perhaps not this soon).”

“The biggest lift in confidence was in the retail and manufacturing sectors.”

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