According to Vladimir Miklashevsky, senior economist at Danske Bank, EUR/USD has been more responsive to US data releases of late and is likely due to the high uncertainty about Fed policy heading into next week’s FOMC meeting.
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“The release of retail sales and industrial production today could therefore be market movers. We think the risk is tilted towards slightly stronger readings, which would be EUR/USD-negative. Regardless, we are confident the Fed will cut rates in July, which should pave the way for a move in EUR/USD towards 1.17 in 6M.”