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Fed’s Daly: It is too early to know if rates should be cut or by how much

Fed’s Daly is crossing the wires.

Key comments:

  • Doesn’t think Fed is taking policy signals from financial markets.
  • Seeing indications that inflation expectations are showing signs of getting untethered.
  • Says rate cut in July would depend on the data, it is too early to know if rates should be cut or by how much.
  • More accommodative policy may stimulate consumer spending.
  • Markets are trying to think about fed reaction function.
  • We had softer inflation readings, softer jobs report.
  • Need to see if data are transitory or not.
  • Need to see if forces slowing the economy in a meaningful way.
  • Tariffs seen as modest impact on inflation, growth.
  • Not seeing much pass through on tariffs to final prices.
  • Seeing indications that inflation expectations are showing signs of getting untethered.
  • Rate cut in July would depend on the data, it is too early to know if rates should be cut or by how much.

 

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