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RBA: Further 75bps of cuts likely over 2019/20 – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities are expecting a further 75bps of cuts from RBA over 2019/20 which is likely to take the cash rate to 0.50%.

Key Quotes

“We have penciled in cuts for July’19, Nov’19 and May’20.”

“Making inroads into cutting spare capacity is the major driver for RBA cuts.”

“We think the AUD has bottomed and a broadly weaker USD profile reinforces a push back above 0.70 in H2.”

Risk: The RBA cuts more aggressively than our 2019 forecast.”

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