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US: Payrolls expectations for Friday’s NFP revised lower – Wells Fargo

Analysts at Wells Fargo, lowered Friday’s non-farm payrolls expectations from 175K to 165K after today ISM non-manufacturing report. They also noted that tariff worries are spreading to the service sector.  

Key Quotes:  

“ISM non-manufacturing fell to the slowest pace since July 2017. Tariffs are now weighing on service-sector sentiment too and contributing to higher input costs for businesses.”

“The ISM non-manufacturing index fell to 55.1 and while that is still in expansion territory, it marks the slowest pace of growth in the service sector since July 2017.”

“The employment component slipped 3.1 points to 55.0, signaling the slowest pace of hiring since June 2018, and the number of industries hiring fell to just 50%. We have revised down our call for Friday’s jobs report to +165K from +175K previously.”

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