- Prepared to use unconventional policy if its warranted comments fail to sustain the downside in AUD/USD.
- We are prepared to cut rates further to meet our inflation and employment goals – Lowe said.
- It is unlikely but possible that we head to the lower bound; hope to avoid doing so.
RBA governor Lowe is appearing before the House of Representatives’ Standing Committee on Economics in Canberra. He is delivering a prepared text and along with colleagues will be answering politicians’ questions for about 3 hours.
He is dovish but has just made the most dovish statement yet, something that the markets were looking for and he delivered:
- Prepared to use unconventional policy if it’s warranted.
- It is unlikely but possible that we head to the lower bound; hope to avoid doing so.
Earlier comments:
- We are prepared to cut rates further to meet our inflation and employment goals.
- Having cut rates twice in quick succession. we thought it was appropriate to wait and asses developments.
- Inflation still expected to pick up, but the date at which it is expected to be back at 2% has been pushed out again.
- Over 2020, inflation is forecast to be a little under 2% and over 2021 it is expected to be a little above 2%.
- Australian economy to grow 2.5% this year; downward revision reflects weak consumption growth.
- There are signs the economy has reached a gentle turning point.
- Inflation will be below target band for some time.
- Probable we will have spare capacity in the labour market for some time yet.
- Reasonable to expect an extended period of low rates.
FX implications:
Should weigh on AUD, but we are seeing quite the opposite. all the odds are stacked against the Aussie yet it is 0.15% up in the Asian shift and holding around the 200- hourly moving average.
Note: Later in the day, the RBA also releases its quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy at 11:30am Syd.
“Tuesday’s brief statement indicated fairly modest changes compared to May. The RBA’s “central scenario is for the Australian economy to grow by around 2 ½ per cent over 2019 and 2 ¾ per cent over 2020.” Inflation is expected to take longer to return to target, “a little under 2 per cent over 2020 and a little above 2 per cent over 2021,” analysts at Westpac explained
Share
