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Commodities under the shadow of Geopolitical risks – ABN AMRO

According to analysts at ABN AMRO, the attack on Saudi oil infrastructure facilities  reminded the market of possible impacts of geopolitical risks.

Key Quotes

“Although the existing downside  price risks for oil did not vanish, geopolitical risks  led to increased upside price risks. As a result, oil  prices seem to be caught between extremes.”

“We think gold prices may have found too much  support. A profit taking wave could easily push  prices back towards our expected 1,400/ton at  the end of the year.”

“The trade conflict and high inventories cap the  upside for base metals, especially for aluminium,  copper and zinc. Loose monetary policy should  be supportive, but mainly into 2020.”

 

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