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USD/INR rebounds from three-week lows, 71.50 tested

  • Rupee falls on state-run banks’ dollar bids, USD/INR jumps.
  • US-China headlines will remain in focus amid Thanksgiving light trading.

The Indian rupee fell for the first time in four days vs. the US dollar this Thursday, sparking a solid bounce in USD/INR back above the 71.50 level. At the press time, the spot tests offers near the last, up 0.34% on the day.  

Despite fresh US-China trade jitters over the Hong Kong Democracy Act and the subsequent broad US dollar weakness, the USD/INR trades with size-able gains, mainly driven by the reduced demand for the Indian currency in the domestic market, as importers are seeking the buck for their month-end dollar payments.

According to a dealer with the Indian state-run bank, “Major chunk of the current dollar bids are from state-run banks, likely for their importer clients. Some foreign banks are also buying dollars amid a weak risk appetite globally.”

“But any inflows into the spot market will be delayed due to U.S. holiday. This factor is keeping trading volumes weak, and that can have a disproportionate impact on the pair today,” he added.

The pair also remains unperturbed by the weakness in oil prices, as the broader market sentiments and domestic dollar bids continue to have a significant impact. Meanwhile, Thanksgiving holiday-thinned trading could also exaggerate the USD/INR moves.

USD/INR Technical levels to consider

 

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