- AUD/USD is reporting losses following a below-forecast Australian GDP data.
- Australia’s economy grew at a slower rate in the third quarter.
- The data validates the market view that the RBA will cut rates to 0.5% next year.
AUD/USD fell more than 10 pips to hit a session low of 0.6838 after the official data showed the Australian economy expanded at a slower pace in the third quarter.
The gross domestic product growth slowed to 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in the three months to September from the previous quarter’s 0.5%. While the quarter-on-quarter figure missed the estimate of 0.5% by a narrow margin, the annualized GDP ticked higher to 1.7% from 1.4%, as expected.
Further, the final consumption expenditure rose just 0.3% quarter-on-quarter compared to the 1% growth seen in the preceding quarter.
The dismal data validates the market view that the RBA will have to provide extra stimulus in 2020 to gradually push the unemployment rate down, generate better wages and household income growth and eventually lift inflation into the target band.
Hence, it’s not surprising to see that the Aussie dollar is trading under pressure. The losses could be extended further with fresh trade uncertainty and risk aversion in the equity markets.
US President Donald Trump said overnight that he may delay a trade deal with China till after the 2020 presidential election. The US stocks dropped in response to Trump’s comments with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by more than 1%. At press time, the futures on the S&P 500 are trading flat.
The AUD/USD pair is currently trading near 0.6840, representing marginal losses on the day.
Technical levels
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