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Australia Forecasts 2020-2021 Jobless Rate of 8.75%

Australia Forecasts 2020-2021 with a Jobless Rate of 8.75% and a Budget Deficit of A$184.5Bln.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has begun giving the economic update.

Key numbers

  • Two deficits, $85.8bn in 2019-20 and $184.5bn in 2020-20.
  • Net debt $488.2bn at 30 June 2020 and $677.1bn the following year.
  • Tax receipts are down $31.7bn in 2019-20 and $63.9bn in2020-21.
  • Growth will fall by 3.75% this year and GDP is forecast to be 2.5% higher next year.
  • Unemployment to peak at 9.25% in the December quarter.

Frydenberg says the coronavirus crisis says Australia’s GDP will fall 3.75% in 2020, but grow by just over 2% in calendar year 2020.

In the financial year 2019-2021, he said, the real GDP will fall by 0.25%, and in 2020-2021 it will be 2.5% down.

Frydenberg told reporters:

The coronavirus crisis has led to unprecedented economic support to the tune of around $11 trillion. Here in Australia the morrison government has deployed $289bn… the equivalent of 14.6% of GDP.

Our economic strength going into this crisis has given us the financial firepower to respond during this crisis.

He said a significant decline in tax receipts and a large increase in government payments had led to a “dramatic change in the budget position”.

These harsh numbers reflect the harsh reality we face.

 

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