Home Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD’s path of least resistance appears down – Confluence Detector
FXStreet News

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD’s path of least resistance appears down – Confluence Detector

Gold is struggling to extend the bounce above $1900 amid a broad-based US dollar recovery. Signs of progress on the US fiscal stimulus front are seemingly boding well for the US dollar, as markets re-price the likelihood of Fed rate hikes. Investors believe that the Fed could bring forward a rate hike if the US lawmakers strike a stimulus deal in the near term. 

Meanwhile, the final Presidential election debate saw both sides playing the blame-game on the fiscal aid bill. Focus shifts to the US Preliminary Markit PMIs and stimulus update for a fresh take on gold prices.

How is gold positioned technically?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the bright metal is battling a cluster of healthy resistance levels around $1906/1907, where the previous low one-hour coincides with the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA100 four-hour.

The next powerful resistance is seen at $1911, which is the SMA10 one-day level. Acceptance above the latter is needed to confront the $1915 cap, the convergence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and one-day.

Thus, it can be seen that it would be an uphill task for the bulls to regain the upside momentum.

Alternatively, should the critical cushion at $1902 (Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and Fib 23.6% one-day confluence) give way, the rates could drop directly to the next downside target at $1895 (previous day low).

Further south, the fierce support at $1883 could be tested. That level is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and the previous week low.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

FX Street

FX Street

FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It was launched in 2000 and the portal has always been proud of their unyielding commitment to provide objective and unbiased information, to enable their users to take better and more confident decisions.