Home USD/JPY Price Analysis: Holds onto critical support, risks remain to the downside
FXStreet News

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Holds onto critical support, risks remain to the downside

  • USD/JPY test critical support near 104.50 after the bear cross.
  • Hourly RSI flirts with the oversold territory, allowing more declines.  
  • 21-HMA at 104.69 to offer immediate resistance.

USD/JPY falls for the third consecutive day on Monday, sitting at five-week troughs near mid-104s, with the technical set up favoring the bears in the near-term.

The spot is clinging onto the one-week-old trendline support, now at 104.48, attempting a tepid recovery in early European trading.

Despite the pause in the decline, the risks remain skewed to the downside amid a bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) and bear cross spotted on the hourly sticks.

The 50-hourly moving average (HMA) cut the 100-HMA from above, triggering a fresh sell-off from 105.00 levels last Friday.

On a breach of the abovementioned key support, the bears will regain control and target sub-104 levels.

Meanwhile, any recovery attempts could face immediate resistance at the bearish 21-HMA at 104.69 while the spot currently flirts with the 200-HMA barrier at 104.60.

Further up, the 50-HMA barrier at 104.96 could get tested.

USD/JPY: Hourly chart

USD/JPY: Additional levels

FX Street

FX Street

FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It was launched in 2000 and the portal has always been proud of their unyielding commitment to provide objective and unbiased information, to enable their users to take better and more confident decisions.