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Central Bank of Russia hikes policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% in March

Russia’s central bank announced on Friday that it hiked its policy rate by 25 basis point to 4.5%. “The balance of risks has shifted towards proinflationary ones,” the bank noted in its policy statement.

Market reaction

With the initial market reaction, the USD/RUB pair fell sharply and was last seen losing 0.7% on the day at 73.7947.

Key takeaways as summarized by Reuters

“Given the  current monetary policy stance, annual inflation will return to  the Bank of Russia’s target close to  4% in  the  first half of  2022  and will remain at  that level further  on.”

“The Bank of Russia will continue to  determine the  timeline and  pace of  a  return to  neutral monetary policy taking into account actual and  expected inflation dynamics relative to  the  target and  economic developments over the  forecast horizon, as  well as  risks posed by  domestic and  external conditions and  the  reaction of  financial markets.”

“The  fast recovery of  demand and  elevated inflationary pressure call for  a  return to  neutral monetary policy.”

“The Bank of  Russia holds open the  prospect of  further increases in  the  key  rate at  its  upcoming meetings.”

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