Oil prices have risen in early 2021, and inventories have edged down, encouraged in particular by a recovery in demand in major emerging markets. Strategists at Deutsche Bank forecast WTI trading at $57 by end-March 2022.
Key quotes
“Chinese oil demand has recovered sharply from the dip; Indian and Brazilian demand has also been increasing. Markets are anticipating continued demand growth (if at different rates for different sectors).”
“The assumption is that OPEC+ production discipline will hold, with the organisation able to manage controlled output increases as the global economy picks up pace.”
“End-March 2022 WTI forecast (12-month forward): $57/b.”