The USD/CAD pair continued trading around 1.26 in March. In April, the loonie is broadly expected to move in a 1.23-1.27 range, as reported by Mizuho Bank.
Canadian economy to see a recovery
“The Canadian government is expecting vaccines to lead to herd immunity in Canada sometime around September, with the economy expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels as COVID-19 is controlled and vaccines are rolled out.”
“Investors have essentially priced in a recovery in crude oil demand on the global economic recovery, with WTI expected to move in a range between $55-65/barrel going forward. WTI could fall at times on headlines related to covid, crude oil inventories and crude oil supply structures, with the USD/CAD pair topping 1.27, but the Canadian dollar will also remain bullish on robust Canadian economic indicators and QE tapering, so the pair will probably trade in a range from 1.23-1.27.”
“The CAD/JPY yen pair looks set to basically trade in a range between 86-89. The Canadian unit is also likely to be pushed higher as Canadian long-term interest rates continue rising and the differential with Japanese long-term interest rates widens.”