Home Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes $1874 and $1870 as next downside targets – Confluence Detector
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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes $1874 and $1870 as next downside targets – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is back in the red amid the resurgent US dollar’s demand.
  • Yellen’s optimism lifts the Treasury yields, rescues the greenback.
  • Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD’s upside appears capped below $1900, with all eyes on US CPI

Gold price is falling from just below the $1900 area this Monday, kicking off the week on a bearish note. Resurgent US dollar demand amid a rebound in the Treasury yields, courtesy of US Secretary Janet Yellen’s optimism over the economy, weighs on gold’s appeal. Yellen said that higher interest rates would be a ‘plus’ for the Fed. Investors shrugged off dismal US NFP jobs data, as Yellen revived taper talks. Further, a tussle between the White House and Republicans over President Joe Biden’s $1.7 trillion infrastructure spending bill also adds to the downward pressure on gold price.

Looking ahead, the broader market sentiment and dynamics in the yields would continue to play out amid a lack of relevant US economic news. The US CPI report due on Thursday will be the main event to watch for fresh trading opportunities in gold price.

Read: Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD snaps four-week winning streak, closes below $1,900

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The  Technical Confluences Detector  shows that gold price is approaching a dense cluster of support levels stacked up around $1880.

At that point, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and Fibonacci 38.2% one-day coincide.

If that cap gives way, a drop towards the Bollinger Band one-day Middle at $1874 cannot be ruled out.

Further south, the sellers will then test the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1871.

On the flip side, gold bulls need to scale the $1888-$1890 supply zone on a sustained basis. That area is the convergence of the SMA5 four-hour, SMA10 one-hour and previous four-hour.

The Fibonacci 61.8% one-week at $1893 could test the bullish commitments.

The next stop for gold bulls is seen at $1896, where the previous day high, SMA50 four-hour and SMA200 one-hour meet.

Here is how it looks on the tool              

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About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

 

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