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BoE: Boxed in by Brexit – Rabobank

Rabobank analysts note that as per expectations, the Bank of England MPC kept rates unchanged at 0.75% while there were no dissenters.

Key Quotes

“The forward guidance of a gradual rise in interest rates is now explicitly conditioned on the assumption that the economy is on a clear path to a smooth Brexit and some recovery in global growth.”

“The MPC also warned that the “entrenched uncertainty” regarding Brexit could lead to a period of below-potential growth in demand. That is yet another clue that the Bank of England isn’t going to raise interest rates anytime soon.”

“While we stick to our forecast for no changes in Bank rate in 2019 and 2020 on the premise that the UK will eventually leave the European Union with a deal in place, the risk of a no-deal Brexit remains a sword of Damocles hanging over the UK economy.”

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