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Chinese GDP beats – AUD stable (for now)

The  Chinese economy grew by 6.9% y/y and 1.8% q/q according to the official figure. While the release from the economic giant always raises some doubts, this was enough to boost the Australian dollar.

However, other figures do indicate some weakness, and the Aussie remains somewhat vulnerable.

Economists had expected a y/y growth rate of 6.8% so 6.9% is a beat. This is still the lowest since 2009 but can be seen as well engineered by the authorities.

Industrial output rose 5.7% y/y, worse than 6% expected and 6.1% last time. Fixed Asset Investment (FAI) rose only 10.3% instead of 10.8% expected and 10.9% expected.

The authorities say that the economy still faces downward pressures  and that the drop in growth  partly reflects weakness in the global economy and even expectations for a Fed rate hike. Chinese unemployment stands at 5.2%.

The responses include a surprise from the better than expected GDP but worries about investment in housing.

AUD/USD started the new  trading week by falling to 0.7230, below the important 0.7280 level that separated ranges. The news from its main trading partners sent it higher, and it peaked  just above this line, at 0.7289.

However, the pair is slipping down once again, trading at 0.7270 at the time of writing.

AUDUSD October 19 2015 technical chart lower after Chinese GDP

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.