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DXY Technical Analysis: The index keeps ignoring bearish divergence and points to 97.00

  • The index is gathering further upside traction on Wednesday on the back of unabated jitters around the EM FX space, with the Turkish Lira still in centre stage.
  • DXY is poised to advance further as long as the short-term support line at 94.60 holds and it continues to trade above the daily cloud. Immediate target arises at the psychological 97.00 milestone ahead of 97.87, where sits the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2017-2018 drop.
  • So far, the index is paying little-to-none attention to the bearish divergence in the daily RSI, which could prompt a retreat to, initially, 96.04 (50% Fibo retracement of the 2017-2018 drop) seconded by the 95.65 (10-day SMA), the 200-week SMA at 95.45 and then 95.13 (21-day SMA).
  • Looking at the broader picture, the buck remains supported by US-led trade tensions and prospects of further tightening by the Fed in the next months.

DXY daily chart

 

 

 

 

 

Daily high: 96.92

Daily low: 96.66

Support Levels

S1: 96.28

S2: 95.90

S3: 95.64

Resistance Levels

R1: 96.92

R2: 97.18

R3: 97.56

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