EUR/USD: Balance Of Risks Into Next Week’s ECB – Nomura


The European Central Bank meets this week amid low inflation and we still don’t know how long the QE program will continue. What’s next?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews

Nomura FX Strategy Research discusses the EUR outlook going into next week’s ECB meeting.

We do not expect any great EUR reaction to the ECB announcement, but keep our medium-term bullish view on EUR. Even after the fairly disappointing October decision, EUR has been trading resiliently, supported by the improving basic balance of the BoP, in our view.

Even though the ECB may provide no fresh catalysts next week, EUR downside risks should be limited.

Into the middle of next year, we expect ECB communications to turn gradually more hawkish to let markets price the end of QE in September. Then, we think another acceleration in EUR appreciation is likely, while range-trading continues for now,” Nomura rgues.

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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