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  • EUR/USD is again looking north, according to technical charts.
  • Two-year US-German yield differential hit lowest since Oct. 1, adding credence to bullish technicals.
  • A better-than-expected Eurozone CPI and a surprise US-China trade deal would bode well for the euro and risky assets.

The EUR/USD closed well above 1.1388 yesterday, validating Wednesday’s bullish outside-day candle.

The bullish reversal seen in the daily chart is backed by a decline in the yield differential in the EUR positive manner. For instance, the two-year spread between the US and German government bond yields fell to 238 points yesterday – the lowest level since Oct. 1 – having topped out at 358 basis points on Nov. 8.

Therefore, the stage looks set for a re-test of the Nov. 20 high of 1.1472.

Notably, the odds of a rally to 1.1472 would rise sharply if the Eurozone’s preliminary consumer price index (CPI) for November, scheduled for release at 10:00 GMT today, blows past estimates, bolstering the possibility of an early ECB rate hike.

The common currency, however, may run into offers in the Asian session on Monday if the weekend’s Trump-Xi meeting fails to produce at the very least a pause in the trade dispute.

The recent high of 1.1472 could be scaled next week if the meeting between the US President Trump and China’s Xi ends on a positive note.

EUR/USD Technical Levels


       Today Last Price:  1.1393
       Today Daily change:  3.0  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.0263%
       Today Daily Open:  1.139
       Previous Daily SMA20:  1.1364
       Previous Daily SMA50:  1.146
       Previous Daily SMA100:  1.1534
       Previous Daily SMA200:  1.177
       Previous Daily High:  1.1402
       Previous Daily Low:  1.1348
       Previous Weekly High:  1.1473
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.1328
       Previous Monthly High:  1.1625
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.1302
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.1382
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.1369
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.1358
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.1326
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.1304
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.1412
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.1434
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.1466