EUR/USD hesitates on slow growth in Europe

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The Euro zone is out of recession, with another quarter of growth in the large countries and a first quarter of growth for the whole continent. Although these results were expected, EUR/USD reacted positively to this growth.

Germany, the continent’s largest country, was the first to release Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter, at 7:00 GMT. After the surprising growth figures in the second quarter, Germany’s economy expanded at a faster pace, 0.7%.

The initial reaction was somewhat hesitant – economists had expected a growth rate of 0.8%. Still, this is a good figure, and last quarter’s number was revised to the upside – from 0.3% to 0.4%. EUR/USD began climbing slowly. But this was only the beginning.

France, the continent’s second largest economy released its data 50 minutes later. Last quarter’s 0.3% rise was copied to this quarter as well. Economists had expected a faster pace – 0.6%. This caused the move to stall for a few minutes.

Italy: 70 minutes later, at 9:00 GMT, Italy also released its GDP. Also here, the figure missed expectations – growth of 0.6% rather than 0.8%. But the important fact here is that Italy is out of recession. Italy’s economy squeezed by 0.5% last quarter.

The growth of Germany and France was already seen in Q2. Italy’s growth is news. EUR/USD moved up to 1.49 before the release of the all-European Flash GDP.

European Flash GDP rose by 0.4%. The Euro zone is out of recession. On the other hand, tis figure was also less than a 0.6% rise that was estimated by economists. And, last quarter’s GDP contraction was downgraded to 0.2%.

EUR/USD is now trading at 1.4875, falling from 1.49. The hesitant growth isn’t convincing enough.

For more about the Euro’s week, check out the EUR/USD forecast.

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.