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  • EUR/USD looks to have charted a lower high around 1.12. 
  • Hourly chart indicators are reporting bearish conditions. 
  • Risks appear skewed in favor of a re-test of Wednesday’s low.

EUR/USD is currently trading near 1.1160, representing a 0.20% drop on the day, having failed to chew through offers placed around 1.12 multiple times during the overnight trade. 

The bounce from Wednesday’s low of 1.1055 looks to have formed a bearish lower high at 1.12. Additionally, the 50- and 200-hour averages look set to produce a bearish crossover, a sign of strong downward momentum. 

As far as indicators are concerned, the relative strength index on the hourly and 4-hour charts is reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 print. 

All in all, a re-test of Wednesday’s low of 1.1055 could be in the offing. A violation there would shift the focus to the 4H 200-candle average, currently located at 1.1012. 

On the higher side, consecutive hourly closes above 1.12 are needed to set the tone for a recovery toward the hourly chart resistance at 1.1334 (lower high created on March 11). 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

 

Expert score

5

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