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EUR/USD runs into resistance after the Italian recovery

The EUR/USD kicked off the week with a jump to the upside on the failure to form a populist government in Italy. The party may be premature.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the  1.1708  level that the pair temporarily breached may reassert itself as a strong cap. It is the convergence of the Bolinger Band one-hour Middle (Stdv. 2.2), the Simple Moving Average 200-15m, the SMA 10-1h, the SMA 50-1h, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1.

Upon a successful break higher, the next level of resistance is at  1.1763  which is the confluence of two important levels: the SMA 200-1h and the robust Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

If the pair drifts back down, some support awaits at  1.1685, which is the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Bolinger Band 1h-Middle, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

However, the more substantial congestion of support lines is only at  1.1592  which is the confluence of three pivot points: the one-day S2, the one-month S3, and the one-week S1.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EURUSD confluence levels May 28 technical

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.