EUR/USD: 4 Reasons Why The USD Is Not Stronger?


EUR-USD is trading around 1.1640, sticking to the well’known ranges and not going anywhere fast. However, there may be room to the downside.

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

Bank of America Merrill Lynch FX Strategy Research discusses the USD outlook, outlining some key reasons on why the greenback is not trading at stronger levels. 

1“- We see a number of reasons. Although the US data has been strong, headline inflation remains low and wage growth is persistently weak.

2- The market expects a December Fed hike, but is still far from the dot plot for 2018 and 2019.

3- The strong consensus remains that the tax reform will be difficult to approve and in any case will be light on its macro and market impact.

4- The official sector has been consistently selling the USD since spring, primarily against EUR and JPY, according to our flows,” BofAML argues.

“… What happens next depends on the chances of US tax reform, in our view,” BofAML adds.

BofAML maintains a short EUR/USD* position targeting 1.15.

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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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