EUR/USD Breaks Above Channel On Dollar Liquidity Annoucnement

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EUR/USD broke above the uptrend channel that characterized it throughout the week and above critical resistance at 1.3838. This comes after 5 central banks coordinated to supply dollar liquidity to European banks – the Federal Reserve is helping the ECB.

The ECB and the Federal Reserve address the dollar funding crisis that has weighed heavily on European banks. This came after European officials dismissed comments made by the head of the IMF Christine Lagarde regarding an urgent need to recapitalize European banks.

Euro/dollar is surging forward, now just under 1.39. It broke the uptrend channel that stood on around 1.3820 during the breakout and above critical resistance at 1.3838 – a line which was the bottom border of a long term range. The euro can look down to it once again.

EUR USD Breaks Higher on ECB Dollar Liquidity - Click to enlarge

Further resistance is at 1.3950, followed by 1.4030. Support below 1.3838 is at 1.3788.

For more on EUR/USD, see the euro/dollar forecast.

This shocker move came just after a big bulk of US data pointed to higher inflation, lowering the chance of QE3. This weakened the euro and kept it below the channel, but these breaking news sent it high.

The liquidity operation announced by the ECB will continue until year’s end and will provide relief to the European banks. 2 such banks were struggling in the past week, and needed the ECB. The ECB in turn, now leans on the Federal Reserve for dollars.

Jamie Coleman analyzes this move and states:

The knee-jerk reaction has been to buy EUR/USD as the funding crisis for European banks has been plastered over but the root causes remain. Not very bullish in the long-term.

Will this impressing rally continue? Or will it fade if the root cause to this situation won’t be solved?

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Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

9 Comments

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  3. personally if there is an attack of global hedge fund against EUR, that won’t lead to any good results of them. 1st, a cooperation between central banks at this time must be strong I bet they are very committed at this moment. 2nd, it’s no good for the situation to be broken if they can fix it (that’s why 5 central banks give the liquidity, they’re trying to make it orderly if worst case happen).

  4. Don’t worry Chris, that won’t happen because theoretically US can just print money to bail out herself. Moreover IMF is just another US.

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