Home EUR/USD: Monthly Shooting Star; USD/JPY: 50% Equilibrium – SocGen
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EUR/USD: Monthly Shooting Star; USD/JPY: 50% Equilibrium – SocGen

Interesting patterns are emerging on major pairs. Here are the views from SocGen:

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

USD/JPY  has achieved our advocated target for rebound at 114 which corresponds with the down sloping channel limit and the 76.4% retracement from mid- February highs.

USD/JPY confirmed a multi month H&S and is undergoing a retracement.  Potential for the pattern is located at 106, also the 38.2% retracement of 2012- 2015 up move.

Daily indicator is still below the equilibrium level of 50% which suggests ongoing recovery is still corrective in nature. Neckline of the pattern at 116 will remain a key resistance.

EURUSD monthly shooting star March 2016

Having faced resistance at the upper limit of a daily ascending channel, EUR/USD is likely to form a shooting star this month.  The pair violated the aforementioned channel support (1.10/1.1060) which is a signal that the rebound since December may have run its course. Daily RSI has already breached a similar trend support suggesting possibility of further correction.

The pair is currently probing a weekly descending trend, however rebound, if any, should be contained at immediate resistance of 1.10/1.1060.

A test of lows formed early February at 1.08 looks more likely.  This will confirm if a revisit of last November trough at 1.0570/1.05 takes shape.

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.