EUR/USD Near Confluence Line – Break or Bounce?


EUR/USD is trading in an uptrend channel. Uptrend resistance now coincides with a critical resistance line. Will it break higher or fall back? The confluence indicates that any move will be significant.

EUR/USD Near Confluence - Click image to enlarge

EUR/USD Near Confluence – Click image to enlarge

Uptrend support begins in early December, when the pair bounced off the 1.2880 line. This line was then flirted with around the turn of the year, when the pair traded around 1.30.

Uptrend resistance began a bit later in December, when the pair reached 1.33. After a breakout to higher ground, euro/dollar got close again, and then traded in a new, higher range, that was capped by 1.34.

After the breakout of 1.34, the pair touched uptrend resistance once again, peaking at 1.3476. This is just 10 pips away from a critical resistance line. 1.3486 was reached in February 2012, and was the highest level of the year.

At the wake of the new week, EUR/USD bounced off the highs and is trading at lower ground, 1.3430 at the time of writing. Uptrend resistance and the tough resistance line are in confluence, as seen on the chart.

Is it already bouncing from this meeting point? Or is it just consolidating at overbought territory before another surge higher?

Further lines above are 1.36 and 1.3750. Below, 1.34 and 1.3350 await.

Further reading: Euro/dollar forecast.

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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.


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