The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points at its Oct. 29-30 meeting, despite record low unemployment, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
The Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.50%-1.75% next week.
Another rate cut could be seen early next year, following which the central bank will likely stand pat for the rest of the year.
75% of economists said the recent trade development between Washington and Beijing was not a turning point in easing uncertainty.
A majority of economists, 27 of 45, also said US-China trade relations would stay about the same between now and the end of next year.
The median probability of a US recession in the next 12 months rose to 35% from 30% predicted a month ago.