We have both Kaplan and Mester crossing the wires:
Fed’s Mester:
- IOER tweak was not a signal on policy, but a technical adjustment
- Inflation is a bit low, labour mkts are ‘very strong’
- Interest rates are at ‘neutral’, we’re now in a good spot
Fed’s Kaplan:
- Fed rates are in the neighbourhood of neutral.
- High debt could amplify downturn.