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Fiscal Cliff Breakthrough? EUR/USD is on the rise

There are reports that Vice President Joe Biden and Republican Mitch McConnell  have made significant progress on a deal for the fiscal cliff: a higher tax rate for households that make $450K or more, a 20% capital tax and more. Hopes are high for a last minute deal, boosting risk trades.

Those are initial details, but perhaps the efforts will be fruitful as the clock is ticking to midnight. EUR/USD is on the rise, still within range.

Update:  Fiscal Cliff Averted – Prepare for Another Crisis in 2 Months

It’s the morning of December 31st and Washington is busier than ever. In recent days, talks about a temporary solution have circled. Will we get a full deal? One Democrat representative, Chris Van Hollen,    said that chances are more than 50-50. Another one, Republican Bob Corker said that “We will have a solution”.

EUR USD on potential fiscal cliff breakthrough December 31 2013
EUR USD on potential fiscal cliff breakthrough – click to enlarge

EUR/USD has bounced from the 1.3170 line and is now at 1.3220. It is capped by minor resistance at 1.3240. Also USD/JPY is on the rise.

Here is more information from Bloomberg:

According to a person familiar with the talks who asked for anonymity when discussing them, Democrats are pushing for a trigger as low as $250,000 for capital gains and dividends with a tax rate of 20 percent.

It’s important to remember that currencies will have different reactions to any resolution. Here is a guide

Further reading:  Here comes Cliff

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.