GBP: Fading Extreme Brexit Optimism; What’s The Trade? – Barclays

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The pound could not break high resistance and dropped to lower ground on Monday’s failure to reach a Brexit breakthrough. The What’s next? Here is the view from Barclays.

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

Barclays Capital FX Strategy Research discusses GBP outlook in the near-term, and thinks that investors should consider fading the current priced extreme optimism on the Brexit deal front.

“While a progression to trade talks is our base case, significant uncertainty remains regarding the Irish border issue, given reported (BBC) demands that Northern Ireland not receive “special status” from the Conservatives’ coalition partner, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP),” Barclays argues.

In the context of extreme Brexit optimism and complacent FX markets, we recommend selling GBPJPY* this week,” Barclays advises.

In line with this view, Barclays recommends being short GBP/JPY* from 151.12 targeting 147.35 as its trade of this week.

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I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me.

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