GBP/USD keeps the negative bias unchanged – Commerzbank

In light of the recent price action, Cable’s focus remains on the 1.3040 region amidst a negative bias, noted Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank.

Key Quotes

“GBP/USD remains on the defensive following last week’s rejection of 1.3362, the 23.6% retracement of the move down from the April peak. The Elliott wave count is indicating that this was the end of the corrective move higher and our attention remains on the 1.3040 October 2017 low. Below 1.3040 would target the 50% retracement at 1.2918. Below 1.2918 would be treated as the break down point to 1.2580, the 61.8% retracement from 2016″.

“It should be noted that we ae concerned by Fridays action, which showed a reluctance to break lower and it is possible that the market is trying to base BUT for now we will maintain a negative bias”.

“Above 1.3363, the 9 th July high would imply a deeper corrective phase to the 1.3470/1.3500 area and there is scope for the 1.3588 200 day ma (although this is less favoured)”.