Search ForexCrunch
  • Gold has confirmed a bull pennant breakout on the hourly chart.
  • A bull cross is also spotted with RSI in the overbought territory.
  • Attention shifts towards the NFP data and next week’s FOMC minutes.

Gold  (XAU/USD) staged a solid comeback from multi-month troughs and rallied over 1% on Friday, courtesy of the sell-off in the US dollar across the board.

The greenback tumbled in sync with the Treasury yields amid risk-on market mood. Gold’s fate now hinges on the all-important US NFP report, with the US economy expected to add 647K jobs in March.

Looking at gold’s hourly chart, the odds are in favor of further upside after a bull flag formation got validated into the weekly closing on Thursday.

Adding credence to a potential move higher, the said time frame also displays a bull crossover, with the 21-hourly moving average (HMA) having peeped above the 200-HMA.

Gold Price Chart: One-hour

With the bull flag now in play, gold remains poised to test the pattern target at $1747.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflects overbought conditions. Therefore, the buyers could see a temporary pullback in prices before the corrective upside resumes.

To the downside, the confluence of the 21 and 200-HMAs at $1720 could offer immediate comfort to the XAU bulls.

If the bearish pressure intensifies, a test of the 100-HMA at $1708 could be inevitable.

Gold: Additional levels