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IMF’s Gopinath: No-deal Brexit would reduce UK GDP by 3%

In the event of a no-deal Brexit, the United Kingdom would lose 3% of its gross domestic product (GDP),  Gita Gopinath, chief International Monetary Fund economist, said on Tuesday.  

Regarding the impact of the United States (US)-China trade conflict on the global economy,  Gopinath argued that the  impact of the dispute on global GDP  would be reduced if the Trump administration were to suspend  October and  December tariffs.

“IMF estimates that global GDP  would be reduced by 0.6% in 2020 if October/December tariffs do not take effect, instead of 0.8% reduction,”  Gopinath added. “We do not project recession in baseline in the next several months.”

These comments had little to no impact on market sentiment.

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