No Euro QE Now – Draghi Drags EUR/USD Down – ECB Wrap Up

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Mario Draghi made quite a few statements in the press conference, but he certainly made it clear that he opposes big bond buys.

Here is a wrap up of the hectic presser, covered in full in the live blog, that left the euro weaker.

  • ECB introduced new liquidity programs for banks, for up to three years – very long.
  • Credit rating needed for collateral with the ECB has been lowered.
  • Reserve ratio has been lowered.
All this sent the euro higher at the beginning of the event. But then he denied any help to bond markets:
  • Bigger bond buys not discussed – no QE. This is contrary to previous hints. Is he putting pressure towards the EU Summit?
  • Using the IMF to bypass the treaty is against the spirit of the treat – will not happen. He repeated this several times.
  • The spirit of the Bundesbank is more important.
  • No discussion of capping yields.
  • Sterilization of bond buys is a pre-condition
This sent the euro way down. It lost the 1.3360 line and temporarily dipped under 1.3320. This line could be broken later on.
Other Notes.
  • Forecasts have been lowered to include a contraction of 0.4% in 2012. Draghi sees growth late in 2012.
  • Rate cut was not unanimous
  • Regarding the liquidity provision, Draghi slipped “We can see if we can keep the banking system liquid” – this doesn’t sound good.
For more on the euro, see the EUR/USD forecast.
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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.

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