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The BLS was expected to show a gain of 155K jobs in the US Non-Farm Payrolls report for April 2013. The unemployment rate was expected to stand at 7.6%, which was the level for March (before revisions).

Towards the release, EUR/USD was still digesting the ECB rate decision made yesterday

The Details

  • Non-Farm Payrolls:  +165K
  • Participation Rate:  63.3%  (63.3% last month- the worst since 1979)
  • Unemployment Rate: 7.5%  (last month 7.6% before revisions)
  • Revisions: +114K.  Last month saw revisions of -61K.
  • Private Sector NFP:  +73K  (Last month:+95K)
  • Real Unemployment Rate (U-6): 14.1  (previous: 13.8%) – big fall.
  • Employment to population ratio:  58.6%  (previous: 58.6%)
  • Average Hourly Earnings: 0.2%% versus +0.2% expected.
  • Average  workweek:  34.4 hours  (Last month:  34.6 hours).


After a good start to the year in terms of economic indicators, the picture has changed, with quite a few disappointments in recent months. Last month’s Non-Farm Payrolls was undoubtedly a weak report, with gains of only 88K jobs. Another significant warning sign came from the initial GDP report: the economy grew at annual pace of  only 2.5% in Q1 2013 – the strong start wasn’t that strong. Contrary to previous reports, this one lacked one of the most leading indicators: the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. The services sector is the vast majority of the US economy, and the employment component in this report tends to be well correlated with the NFP.

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