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Mikael Milhoj, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, noted investors started to price in a rate hike by the Nordic central bank in September.

Key Quotes

“In the Scandies, we have been talking continually about challenging external factors, not least of all for NOK“.

“Meanwhile, we are now entering the final key phase ahead of the June Norges Bank meeting, which will decide whether Norges Bank will stick to its “hike in September” message”.

“The key releases are the registered labour market report (due today), inflation (11 June) and the regional network survey (12 June). Importantly, markets are already pricing in a September hike with a high probability, leaving the balance of risk asymmetrically skewed towards a weaker NOK in our view”.