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  • 100-hour SMA and overbought RSI question pair’s recovery from 0.6540.
  • 0.6515 and 0.6480 seem strong downside supports.

Despite bouncing off 0.6540, the NZD/USD pair is still under 100-hour simple moving average (HMA) near 0.6550 while heading into the Europe open Tuesday.

In addition to the quote’s failure to cross 100-HMA, overbought conditions of 14-bar relative strength index (RSI) also favors sellers targeting 0.6540 revisits.

Should prices slip beneath 0.6540, 0.6515 and current month low around 0.6480 could become bears’ favorites.

In a case where prices continue trading south after 0.6480, October 2018 low near 0.6460 and the year 2018 bottom around 0.6425 may grab market attention.

Alternatively, a sustained break of 0.6555 comprising 100-HMA can trigger the pair’s recovery towards 0.6585 and then to 50% Fibonacci retracement of mid-April to May downpour, at 0.6635.

During successful trading above 0.6635, 0.6685/90 and 0.6730 could lure buyers.

NZD/USD 4-Hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected