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  • NZD/USD is defending the 100-hour MA support in Asia.  
  • A close above 0.6447 is needed for bullish continuation.  

NZD/USD is currently trading at 0.6414, having hit session lows just below the 100-hour moving average (MA) of 0.6409 soon before press time.  

While the defense of the 100-day MA is encouraging, a bullish continuation (resumption of the rally from the recent low of 0.6269) would be confirmed only if the pair closes above 0.6447.  

Note that the 0.6441-0.6447 range proved a tough nut to crack in the last three days.  

A close above 0.6447, if confirmed, would expose the next resistance lined up at 0.6482 (May 23 low) and 0.6519 (50-day MA).  

The probability of the pair closing above 0.6447 would rise if the current bounce from the 100-day MA clears the hourly chart bearish lower highs setup with a move above 0.6427.  

Hourly chart

Trend: Bullish above 0.6447

Pivot points