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RBNZ opens doors to rate cuts – NZD/USD falls

No change in the interest rate. They specifically mention the  currency and say that more depreciation will be appropriate. In addition, they say that some easing may be needed during the year. This is very  different from the talk about stability in rates seen in the previous rate decision.

This is felt in NZD/USD which is sliding, currently within the range,

More dovish words are offered regarding inflation. It will take longer to reach the target that previously anticipated. They also mention house prices in Auckland as being a risk to stability. On the upside, they do see growth picking up.

Earlier, the Federal  Reserve left the interest rate unchanged in the US and sounded a cautious words regarding the global  economy, a slowdown in the US and more. This led to a risk off reaction, hurting the kiwi. Now this is extended.

From the statement:

Some further policy easing may be required over the coming year to ensure that future average inflation settles near the middle of the target range. We will continue to watch closely the emerging flow of economic data

The New Zealand rate  decision is more exciting than the Fed one.

Here is the chart of NZD/USD, with an extension in the falls seen.The low so far is 0.6424, which is also support, and the pair doesn’t really bounce from there.

NZDUSD down on RBNZ January 28 2016

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.