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Philly Fed +19.8 – Significantly Above Expectations

The US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index for July surprised by rising to 19.8 points. It was expected to slide from the relatively strong 12.5 figure published last month to 8.5 this time. This is the highest figure since March 2011. Also the employment component is high: it moved from -5.4 to +7.7 points.

EUR/USD stabilized above 1.3080 and USD/JPY was at 100.20 prior to the release. The yen is retreating after the release, while the euro remains strong.

This is a very early figure that is often correlated with the ISM Manufacturing PMI released after the month ends. However, manufacturing is only a small part of the US economy.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke resumes his testimony in Congress. In the first part, yesterday, Bernanke didn’t say anything really new.

Further reading:  Read Bernanke’s lips – EUR/USD Technical Outlook July 18

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.