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Rallies in EUR/JPY are expected to struggle in the 121.34/80 area – Commerzbank

Occasional bullish attempts in EUR/JPY are seen meeting a tough hurdle in the 121.34/80 band, in opinion of Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank.

Key Quotes

EUR/JPY is seeing a decent bounce from the 55 day ma, this is located at 119.47 currently. Rallies should find tougher resistance at 121.34/80. This is the location of the 200 day ma, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the late July high. Currently the intraday Elliott wave counts are suggesting scope to retest this resistance, but if seen, it should again hold the topside”.

“While capped here, attention remains on the 118.72 uptrend. This should hold the initial test, however longer term the risk has increased for a break lower. Failure here will target the 117.09 October low ahead of the 115.87 September low”.

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