Strong Australian GDP pushes AUD/USD to 0.78 – Can it
Forex News Today: Daily Trading News

Strong Australian GDP pushes AUD/USD to 0.78 – Can it

The Australian economy grew by 0.9% in the first quarter of 2015. This was better than 0.7% expected. Also year over year, the country down under enjoyed a strong growth rate of 2.3%, higher than 2.1% that was on the cards.

AUD/USD continued its advance from the lows and hit a high of 0.7817, but doubts are  creeping in.


Why are there doubts? Well, the details of the report are somewhat less promising for the future. Fixed capital expenditure is actually down 1.2%, and this does not bode well for the next quarter.

In addition, part of this strong GDP growth was boosted by  an inventory buildup: and as we know, a  replenishing of inventories is often followed by depleting them, so this  is another warning sign for growth going forward.

Terms of trade have declined: 2.9% q/q and 11.4% y/y. Wage growth remains weak with a rise of only 0.1%. Also government spending is down.

All in all, there are reasons to be worried that this strong growth rate will not persist. One factor that can improve the situation is a weaker Australian dollar. We are used to hearing complaints about the Aussie’s strength from the central bank, and this time, also the Australian Treasurer Joe Hockey also chimed in by saying it is at a relatively high level.


So, after the run to 0.78, the pair stalled and is still looking for a direction. Resistance awaits at 0.7840, followed by 0.79.

Support is at 0.7750, followed by 0.7675 and then 0.76.

AUDUSD June 3 2015 higher on Australian GDP report but doubts remain

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.