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The inflation-related GBP/USD collapse may have room to run

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that on its way down, the GBP/USD broke below several important clusters of technical support lines. And at current levels under $1.4200,   there are very few support lines to the downside. It was triggered by  weak inflation.

The pair tumbled nearly 100 pips and took down a dense confluence of levels around $1.4270: the SMA100-1h, the SMA10-15, the Bolinger Band 1h-Lower, the 1h low, the 4h-high, and the Pivot Point one-month R1.It also dropped below important support around $1.4217  where we see a congestion of the Fibonacci 28.2% one-week, the BB 1h-Lower, the SMA50-4h, and the SMA200-1h.

Both these clusters now turn into resistance.

And where can the pair find support? At around $1.4150, we find the Pivot Point one-day S1, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, and the SMA10-one-day.

Another level of support is at $1.4114, which consists of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and the Pivot Point one-week S1. These are not such strong lines and a drop to the one-week low at $1.4070  cannot be ruled out.

Here is how it looks:

GBP USD confluence lines after the big fall

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  interesting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. This means that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluences

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.